[caption id="attachment_71347" align="aligncenter" width="607"] Fat Betty![/caption]

We gave you our comedy picks yesterday, and today we do drama. The Emmy Awards notoriously ignore any actors who dare to give subtle or nuanced performances in these categories, and this year it looks to be business as usual. That being said, the surprise, and deserved, wins by Jason Katims and Kyle Chandler for Friday Night Lights last year give us some glimmer of a hope that at least one of these categories will get it right.

The questions is, which one?

Outstanding Lead Actress In A Drama Series

Nominees: Glenn Close (Damages), Michelle Dockery (Downton Abbey), Julianna Margulies (The Good Wife), Kathy Bates (Harry’s Law), Claire Danes (Homeland), Elisabeth Moss (Mad Men)

Will Win: Claire Danes. She's bipolar! She shows range! She chews up the scenery in just the way Emmy voters love! While we attribute Claire's performance more to the writers and creator of Homeland, we do think she should win every time she is nominated after being robbed for My So Called Life.

Should Win: Elisabeth Moss. Poor fu*king Elisabeth Moss will end up going the way of the Six Feet Under ladies (Frances Conroy, Rachel Griffiths, Lauren Ambrose) and never get the Emmy she deserves. She is hands down the best actress of this bunch, but is so good, and so immersed in her character, most voters probably don't even think she is acting. And don't even get us started on Katey Sagal being ignored yet again.

Outstanding Lead Actor In A Drama Series

Nominees: Steve Buscemi (Boardwalk Empire), Bryan Cranston (Breaking Bad), Michael C. Hall (Dexter), Hugh Bonneville (Downton Abbey), Damian Lewis (Homeland), Jon Hamm (Mad Men)

Will Win: Bryan Cranston. It's a sure thing.

Should Win: Michael C. Hall. Is there a curse on everyone from Six Feet Under? Save Bonneville, all these men make viewers sympathize with a villain, but Hall makes us sympathize with an emotionless serial killer. That, our friends, takes some talent.

Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama Series

Nominees: Anna Gunn (Breaking Bad), Maggie Smith (Downton Abbey), Joanne Froggatt (Downton Abbey), Archie Panjabi (The Good Wife), Christine Baranski (The Good Wife), Christine Hendricks (Mad Men)

Will Win: Christina Hendricks. This is without question the strongest category this year, and every nominee deserves to win. Hendricks, like Moss, has been so consistently amazing on Mad Men that we think she will manage to steal this award away from Dame Maggie Smith, whose Dowager Countess would no doubt drop dead if she met a gal like Joan.

Should Win: Jennifer Carpenter. As we said, these ladies are all deserving, but how does Carpenter keep getting ignored?

Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Drama Series

Nominees: Aaron Paul (Breaking Bad), Giancarlo Esposito (Breaking Bad), Brendan Coyle (Downton Abbey), Jim Carter (Downton Abbey), Peter Dinklage (Game of Thrones), Jared Harris (Mad Men)

Will Win: Peter Dinklage. He is taking this category again, and we have no idea why no one is predicting him. The vote splitting between Paul and Esposito leaves Dinklage and Harris battling it out (sorry Downton fellas), and voters will want to give Game of Thrones some love.

Should Win: Jared Harris. Lane's downfall was the best storyline on television last year and Harris' performance was astounding. Hopefully this is the category that gets it right.

Outstanding Writing, Drama

Nominees: Julian Fellows ("Episode 7,"Downton Abbey); Semi Chellas, Matthew Weiner ("The Other Woman," Mad Men), Andre Jacquemetton, Maria Jacquemetton ("Commissions and Fees," Mad Men); Semi Chellas, Matthew Weiner ("Far Away Places,"Mad Men); Alex Gansa, Howard Gordon, Gideon Raff ("Pilot," Homeland)

Will Win:  Semi Chellas and Matthew Weiner. Just when you think Mad Men has gone soft, it comes roaring back.

Should Win:  Semi Chellas and Matthew Weiner. Jason Katims won a well deserved Emmy for Friday Night Lights last year, upsetting what may very well be Mad Men's most iconic episode, "The Suitcase." Voters will not want to ignore the show's incredible writing two years in a row, no matter how much everyone love the Homeland pilot.

Outstanding Directing, Drama

Nominees: Tim Van Patten, Boardwalk Empire, “To the Lost," Vince Gilligan, Breaking Bad, “Face Off," Brian Percival, Downton Abbey, “Episode 7," Michael Cuesta, Homeland, “Pilot," Phil Abraham, Mad Men, “The Other Woman”

Will Win: Vince Gilligan. He is due, and "The Other Woman" will grab the writing win.

Should Win: Anyone from Game of Thrones. We don't know much about directing, but putting together an episode of that show has got to take some serious talent.

Outstanding Drama Series

Nominees: Boardwalk Empire, Breaking Bad, Downton Abbey, Game of Thrones, Homeland, Mad Men

Will Win: Mad Men. Homeland and Breaking Bad will split votes, though Downton could MAYBE sneak in for the win.

Should Win: Mad Men. We hate the repetition too, but at this point it is more impressive that the show has never once faltered.

2012 Emmy Awards Predictions: Comedy Races