LD Entertainment/Roadside Attractions

Our Oscars 2020 Predictions: Renée as Judy and a “Rocketman” Bop

Who's taking home a chiseled gold hottie this year? We got the tea.

Stick with me when it comes to predicting the 92nd Academy Awards, airing this Sunday, February 9. I am always right—though I might want to quickly mention that last year I predicted Glenn Close would win Best Actress. One time, people!

Here, I’ve rounded up all the major categories and given my picks for the lucky thesps and visionaries who’ll bring home that buff gold slice of perfection on the big night. Place your bets.

Saoirse Ronan and Timothée Chalamet in Columbia Pictures’ LITTLE WOMEN.
Wilson Webb/EPK.tv

Best Picture

The Contenders:
Ford v Ferrari
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
Marriage Story
1917
Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood
Parasite

Who Will Win: 1917
Films like The Irishman, Joker, and Tarantino’s latest generally divide people, and a foreign film like Parasite never wins. So I’m going with the World War I epic, which is an elaborate stunt, but magnificently pulled off and at times breathtaking.

Manolo Pavón/Sony Pictures Classics

Best Actor

The Contenders:
Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood
Adam Driver, Marriage Story
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes

Who Will Win: Joaquin Phoenix
Phoenix has never won, he lost a ton of weight for the role, and no one since Julia Roberts has perfected that combination laugh-cry thing he does so deftly here. Besides, everyone is looking forward to his nutso and/or socially conscious acceptance speech.

Renee Zellwegger as Judy
Pathe/BBC Films

Best Actress

The Contenders:
Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
Charlize Theron, Bombshell
Renée Zellweger, Judy

Who Will Win: Renée Zellweger
Judy Garland herself never won a competitive Oscar, but none of the voters know that or care. Zellweger leads the pack this year for her fine acting (and meh singing).

Lacey Terrell/Sony Pictures

Best Supporting Actor

The Contenders:
Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
Al Pacino, The Irishman
Joe Pesci, The Irishman
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood

Who Will Win: Brad Pitt
As an aging stunt double, Pitt gets to show off his self-effacing charm, undeniable physique, and kickass acting chops, making this his year to scoop up the trophy (though, honestly, I found Pacino even stronger in The Irishman).

Margot Robbie as ‘Kayla Pospisil’ and Kate McKinnon as ‘Jess Carr’ in BOMBSHELL.
Hilary Bronwyn Gayle

Best Supporting Actress

The Contenders:
Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit
Florence Pugh, Little Women
Margot Robbie, Bombshell

Who Will Win: Laura Dern
Longtime fave Dern plays the kind of lawyer you fear and want. She’s a knockout—and she’s Hollywood royalty, after all.

Best Director

The Contenders:
Bong Joon Ho, Parasite
Sam Mendes, 1917
Todd Phillips, Joker
Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood

Who Will Win: Sam Mendes
If ever a film was directed, it’s 1917. Mendes will get the prize, edging out Bong Joon Ho.

Best Cinematography:

The Contenders:
The Irishman, Rodrigo Prieto
Joker, Lawrence Sher
The Lighthouse, Jarin Blaschke
1917, Roger Deakins
Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood, Robert Richardson

Who Will Win: 1917
Ditto for Deakin’s work. It’s remarkable.

Saoirse Ronan in Greta Gerwig's LITTLE WOMEN.
Wilson Webb/EPK.tv

Best Costumes

The Contenders:
The Irishman, Sandy Powell and Christopher Peterson
Jojo Rabbit, Mayes C. Rubeo
Joker, Mark Bridges
Little Women, Jacqueline Durran
Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood, Arianne Phillips

Who Will Win: Little Women
The Academy loves to honor frills and froufrous and period thingies, so these Women will get it, with bells (and bows) on.

Best Original Screenplay

The Contenders:
Knives Out, written by Rian Johnson
Marriage Story, written by Noah Baumbach
1917, written by Sam Mendes and Krysty Wilson-Cairns
Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood, written by Quentin Tarantino
Parasite, screenplay by Bong Joon Ho and Han Jin Won; story by Bong Joon Ho

Who Will Win: Once Upon A Time…in Hollywood
An audacious take on a Hollywood horror story, the film surprises and titillates with its whack plot and mythy demystification.

Best Adapted Screenplay:

The Contenders:
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
The Two Popes

Who Will Win: JoJo Rabbit
Its shifts in tone from satirical to cute to ghastly and back again are quite bizarre. But they’re so attention-grabbing that I’ve seen this movie four times.

Best Original Score:

The Contenders:
Joker, Hildur Guðnadóttir
Little Women, Alexandre Desplat
Marriage Story, Randy Newman
1917, Thomas Newman
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, John Williams

Who Will Win: Joker
The old songs used (“That’s Life,” “Smile,” “Send in the Clowns”) are great, but the win will be for Hildur Guðnadóttir’s organic, impressive original score, which is no laughing matter.

Taron Egerton as Elton John in Rocketman from Paramount Pictures.
Paramount Pictures

Best Original Song

The Contenders:
“I Can’t Let You Throw Yourself Away,” Toy Story 4
“I’m Gonna Love Me Again,” Rocketman
“I’m Standing With You,” Breakthrough
“Into the Unknown,” Frozen 2
“Stand Up,” Harriet

Who Will Win: “I’m Gonna Love Me Again”
While this sweet, catchy duet between the real Sir Elton and the fake Sir Elton (Taron Egerton) was hardly a smash (though it made it to No. 12 on the Dance Club charts and also cracked the Adult Contemporary charts), I guess it’s better than the other nominees.

Manolo Pavón/Sony Pictures Classics

Best International Film:

The Contenders:
Corpus Christi, Jan Komasa
Honeyland, Tamara Kotevska and Ljubo Stefanov
Les Misérables, Ladj Ly
Pain and Glory, Pedro Almodóvar
Parasite, Bong Joon Ho

Who Will Win: Parasite
One of the most admired films of 2019, the comedy-thriller has what it takes to beat out Almodóvar’s highly personal gay saga.

Pixar

Best Animated Feature

The Contenders:
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, Dean DeBlois
I Lost My Body, Jérémy Clapin
Klaus, Sergio Pablos
Missing Link, Chris Butler
Toy Story 4, Josh Cooley

Who Will Win: Toy Story 4
It gave us all a Woody (and some lesbian moms!).

Best Documentary Feature

The Contenders:
American Factory, Julia Rieichert and Steven Bognar
The Cave, Feras Fayyad
The Edge of Democracy, Petra Costa
For Sama, Waad Al-Kateab and Edward Watts
Honeyland, Tamara Kotevska and Ljubo Stefanov

Who Will Win: American Factory
Extreme culture clashes and attempts to thwart unionization are very now, and the film gives you a fly-on-the-wall perspective on it, with some amazing revelations.

The 92nd Academy Awards air Sunday, February 9, at 8pm ET on ABC.

Michael Musto is the long running, award-winning entertainment journalist and TV commentator.
@mikeymusto