The U.S. Open Draw Is Out: Who’s Hot, And Who’s Not?

The draw is out today for the 2013 U.S. Open, and the bets are on for who will win the final Major of the year, which starts Monday. With each of the first three Majors of the year being taken by a different guy (Djokovic, Nadal, and Murray), can one of them come through again, or will Flushing Meadows see a fourth guy take the last crown? Let’s take a look at the top ten seeds, and assess their chances!

1. Novak Djokovic

U.S. Open History: Four Finals, One Win (2011)

Why He May Win: He’s been the most consistent player on the tour the last couple of years, and is perfectly comfortable in his role as the #1 player.

Why He May Not Win: He’s been off slightly this season, and Rafa and Andy have momentarily stolen the zeitgeist from him.

Road To Final: May Have To Get Through Tommy Haas, Juan Martin Del Potro, and Andy Murray.

2. Rafael Nadal

U.S. Open History: Two Finals, One Win (2010)

Why He May Win: He’s the hottest player on tour this year, with nine titles (including his eighth French Open) and two big back-to-back hard court titles the last few weeks.

Why He May Not Win: Rafa’s body has a habit of petering out towards the end of the season, and his Open results show that.

Road To Final: May Have To Get Through John Isner, Roger Federer, and David Ferrer.

3. Andy Murray

U.S. Open History: Two Finals, One Win (2012)

Why He May Win: He’s the defending champion, and the reigning Wimbledon champion. His confidence is at an all-time high.

Why He May Not Win: There’s no reason why he shouldn’t be able to repeat here.

Road To Final: May Have To Get Through Thomas Berdych and Novak.

4. David Ferrer

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U.S. Open History: Two Semifinals

Why He May Win: He’s the hardest worker on the tour, but a lot of things would have to go his way

Why He May Not Win: He can’t beat the top players.

Road To Final: May Have To Get Through Richard Gasquet, Roger Federer, and Rafael Nadal.

5. Tomas Berdych

U.S. Open History: One Semifinal

Why He May Win: He made the finals of Wimbledon in 2010, but he hasn’t been past the quarters of a major since. Except here, where the made his first semi last year. On a good day, he can compete with the big guys.

Why He May Not Win: Doesn’t have enough good days.

Road To Final: May Have To Get Through Novak and Andy Murray.

6. Juan Martin Del Potro

U.S. Open History: One Win (2009)

Why He May Win: His shock win here over Federer in 2009 should have heralded a major player, but injuries have hampered him the last few years. Still, he does have the experience of winning.

Why He May Not Win: If the body rebels.

Road To Final: May Have To Get Through Novak and Andy Murray.

7. Roger Federer

U.S. Open History: Five Wins (2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008)

Why He May Win: He’s Roger Federer. He’s won five times

Why He May Not Win: At #7, this is the lowest Roger has been ranked at a Major since 2002. Can he push his body and get one more Grand Slam Title?

Road To Final: May Have To Get Through Nadal in the quarters, and then David Ferrer.

8. Richard Gasquet

U.S. Open History: Fourth Round (Four Times)

Why He May Win: If everyone else eats some bad sushi

Why He May Not Win: He’s playing the best of his career, but has only been past the fourth round of a major once … six years ago.

Road To Final: May Have To Get Through Ferrer and then Roger.

9. Stan Wawrinka

U.S. Open History: One Quarterfinal (2010)

Why He May Win: Moldavian Massacre takes out the top guys

Why He May Not Win: Stan has had a fine career, but he’ll always be “the other Swiss guy”

Road To Final: May Have To Get Through Andy and then Novak.

10. Milos Raonic

U.S. Open History:Third Appearance (First Round, Fourth Round)

Why He May Win: Pact With Satan

Why He May Not Win: 22-year-old Adorable Canadian Milos is experiencing a career high rank, and is one of the few bright young prospects, but he’s not ready to win a Major.

Road To Final: May Have To Get Through Ferrer and then Roger or Rafa.

Here’s my Dark Horse to get to the final.

13.John Isner

And here’s my pick to win the 2013 U.S. Open

Okay, your turn. Who’s your pick to win, and do you expect any big surprises?

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