Most Americans are ready for a new president but believe Trump will likely win reelection, according to a new poll.
The Monmouth University Poll found roughly two-thirds of American voters think Trump will definitely (27%) or probably (39%) get reelected in November, compared to just 22% who said he will probably lose, and only 6% who said he will definitely lose.
Among Republicans, 59% said they think Trump will definitely be reelected, and another 34% said it was probable. Only 11% of Democrats said it was definite the party’s eventual nominee will beat Trump, and 44% said it is probable.
38% of Democrats think it is more likely than not that Trump will win the general election, while only 4% of Republicans think Trump will not win a second term.
“While most voters want to see Trump turned out of office, his steady ratings through the entire impeachment process and memories of how 2016 turned out suggest that few are willing to bet against him. And the Democratic nomination kickoff in Iowa did not exactly inspire confidence in the party’s ability to find someone who can take on the president,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute, in a statement.
The poll also found Bernie Sanders rising to take the national lead among Democratic primary candidates, ousting Joe Biden for the top spot. Those results agree with two other national polls conducted post-Iowa: the Quinnipiac University Poll and the Morning Consult Poll.
The polls also show Pete Buttigieg and Michael Bloomberg on the rise.